TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 1
Tropical Depression
Issued at 11:00 PM, 10 October 2022
Valid for broadcast until the next advisory at 11:00 AM tomorrow
THE LOW-PRESSURE AREA OUTSIDE THE PHILIPPINE AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY HAS DEVELOPED INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION
Location of Center (10:00 PM):
The center of the Tropical Depression was estimated based on all available data at 1,620 km East of Eastern Visayas (11.5°N, 140.3°E)
Intensity:
Maximum sustained winds of 45 km/h near the center, gustiness of up to 55 km/h, and central pressure of 1006 hPa
Present Movement:
West Southwestward at 40 km/h
Extent of Tropical Cyclone Winds:
Strong winds extend outwards up to 140 km from the center
GENERAL OUTLOOK FOR THE FORECAST PERIOD
• The Tropical Depression will move generally north northwestward in the next 12 hours, then turn northwestward on Wednesday (12 October) while decelerating over the Philippine Sea. On the track forecast, the Tropical Depression may enter the PAR region on Thursday morning (13 October). Once inside the PAR, the domestic name “MAMAY” or “NENENG” will be assigned to this tropical cyclone depending whether the Low-Pressure Area inside the PAR will develop into a Tropical Cyclone. Further deceleration is forecast and may remain stationary on Thursday as it moves westward over the Philippine Sea.
• This tropical cyclone may intensify over the Philippine Sea and reach Tropical Storm category within 72 hours.
• The possibility of hoisting a Tropical Cyclone Wind Signal over Extreme Northern Luzon during the occurrence of this Tropical Depression within the PAR region is not ruled out.
• This Tropical Depression may bring rough seas over the northern and eastern seaboards of Luzon beginning Saturday (15 October) or late Friday. Such condition may be risky for those using small seacrafts. Mariners are advised to continue monitoring for updates.
Considering these developments, the public and disaster risk reduction and management offices concerned are advised to continue monitoring for updates related to this tropical cyclone.
Unless an intermediate advisory or initial tropical cyclone bulletin is released, the next tropical cyclone advisory will be issued at 11:00 AM tomorrow.
DOST-PAGASA
